週一(7月25日),現貨黃金有望終結此前兩個交易日的反彈走勢,因在本週晚些時候美聯儲大幅加息之前,市場心態趨於謹慎。美國財政部長耶倫警告美國經濟放緩,但表示衰退並非不可避免。即使第二季度經濟數據繼續為負,也不會表明經濟衰退已經開始,因為就業市場和需求都很強勁。
儘管6月份通脹同比達到逾40年新高9.1%,市場一度預計美聯儲本月加息幅度將擴大到100個基點,但美聯儲官員排除了在7月26日至27日的會議上加息100個基點的可能,而是延續6月加息75個基點的做法。
上週,歐洲央行加入到全球不惜代價抗通脹的陣營中——超預期加息50個基點。歐洲央行行長拉加德隨後在接受德國媒體採訪時表示,歐洲央行將提高利率,直到通脹回落至2%的目標。
結果上週的連續下跌後,本週現貨黃金開啟上漲模式,價格從1680低點升至1720區間。接近加息預期時間範圍,價格將得到較大提振,本週重點關注上漲趨勢。價格目標1750.
技術分析:
上週尾價格開始上漲,突破布林帶中線上線,進入上漲區間,進入上軌道區間。截止目前始終保持在上軌道,上升動能較為強勁,最高達到1740位置。今日內價格有所回調,回落至1714,總體依舊保持上升動能,呈現上漲趨勢。
本週重要信息:
週四:02:00 美國7月聯邦基金利率目標上限(%)
場外式黃金/白銀交易的風險:
Service relating to Over-the-counter (OTC) Gold Bullion/Silver trading is provided by MOL. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion trading carries a high degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion is not regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission (""SFC"") and therefore trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion will not be subject to rules or regulations promulgated by the SFC. Before deciding to trade OTC Gold/Silver Bullion you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain losses in excess of your deposited fund or even more in extreme circumstances and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you require.
Service relating to Over-the-counter (OTC) Gold Bullion/Silver trading is provided by MOL. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion trading carries a high degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion is not regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission (""SFC"") and therefore trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion will not be subject to rules or regulations promulgated by the SFC. Before deciding to trade OTC Gold/Silver Bullion you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain losses in excess of your deposited fund or even more in extreme circumstances and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you require.