美元指數反彈，黃金受挫嚴重
現貨黃金本週下挫，最低下跌至1781位置，週尾以1789收盤。美元指數回升，造成黃金受挫。市場預計美聯儲將在本年度開始較少購債，給黃金造成壓力，使金價連續下跌四天。
美國8月份非農數據新增就業遠低於預期，新型德爾塔病毒肆虐，給了黃金一定程度的支撐，但美聯儲政策依舊是影響黃金價格主要因素，由於美元的回升以及和黃金的負相關效應，黃金價格將在一定時期處於低迷。
鮑威爾在全球央行年會上的演講被市場認為是鴿派言論。雖然市場預期縮減購債，但美聯儲並未有具體行動的跡象。但市場這一普遍預期也令黃金承受較大壓力。
與美聯儲模糊不清的言論不同，歐洲央行週四明確表示，將在未來一個季度削減購債規模，逐漸結束金融財政上對新冠疫情的救援。
去年，由於新冠疫情肆虐，歐洲經濟遭重創，歐洲央行竭盡全力救助經濟。現在，歐洲各地的高疫苗接種率增強了復甦前景，政策制定者面臨承認最糟糕時期已經過去的壓力，歐洲央行通過放慢大流行病緊急資產收購計劃購債步伐來作出回應。
市場預計，歐洲央行將在12月做出這一重大決策，屆時歐洲央行將對其債券購買計劃進行全面評估，並觀測新型病毒對經濟的影響，同時對美聯儲退出刺激計劃的方向有更好的把握。
本週需要關注的是美聯儲關於縮減購債以及加息的預期。基於非農數據以及PPI數據，美聯儲在今年加息可能性較小，但需要留意突發性言論以及預測對短線的影響。另一方面，也需要留意疫情擴散程度以及對經濟的影響。預計本週價格可能沒有較大變化，震盪上行可能性較大。
技術面分析：
受基本面影響，上週價格下滑較大。但均線背離情況較小。始終呈現糾纏鏈接形態。表明價格在一輪下跌後保持穩定低位。 MACD動能線較為平穩，在回調中快慢線越過零軸，表現樂觀情緒。
本週重要數據：
週二：20:30 美國8月CPI年率數據
週四：20:30 美國8月零售銷售數據
立即按此 訂閱 每週黃金走勢分析報告，優先獲取市場最新資訊。
場外式黃金/白銀交易的風險:
Service relating to Over-the-counter (OTC) Gold Bullion/Silver trading is provided by MOL. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion trading carries a high degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion is not regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission (""SFC"") and therefore trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion will not be subject to rules or regulations promulgated by the SFC. Before deciding to trade OTC Gold/Silver Bullion you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain losses in excess of your deposited fund or even more in extreme circumstances and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you require.
Service relating to Over-the-counter (OTC) Gold Bullion/Silver trading is provided by MOL. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion trading carries a high degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion is not regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission (""SFC"") and therefore trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion will not be subject to rules or regulations promulgated by the SFC. Before deciding to trade OTC Gold/Silver Bullion you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain losses in excess of your deposited fund or even more in extreme circumstances and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you require.
