美國消費者預計未來5年物價按年只有大約 3%升幅

In Market Shorts
May 27, 2022
紐約聯邦儲備銀行剛剛發表一份關於美國消費者對通脹預期的報告,該報告的調查發現消費者面對目前的高通脹環境,雖然令短期的通脹預期上升趨勢不變,但他們仍然卻對中期及長期的通脹預期較溫和。根據他們對未來物價的預計, 1 年的升幅將會超過 6%,但對未來消費者物價 5 年的升幅,按年平均只有大約 3%,有趣的是他們對中期的通脹預期存在分歧,對 3 年的升幅預期加大及下降的人皆有所增長,所以料整體消費者對通脹的預期也存在一定程度的不確定性,未來的發展或將為影響美國經濟及消費相關行業的一個關鍵因素。

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