全球对石油需求跌, 减产未能推动油价、黄金2012年12月高位

In 每日市场分析
April 14, 2020

【全球对石油需求跌, 减产未能推动油价】
虽然美国国内有反垄断法,使美国难於与油组合作减产支持油价。但据特朗普政府指,美国并非与油组合谋减产,只是全球对石油需求跌,所以美国国内产油商同时降低产量而已。不论如何, 从周一油价变化所见,似乎减产行动未能有效推升油价。一来可能这个减产要到 5 月 1 日才实施,现在尚未真正减产。二来市场普遍认为这个减幅远远不足以支持油价。无论如何,相信到了 5 月 1 日减产是否有效将自有分晓。

【黄金2012年12月高位】
周一金价大升,现货黄金一度飙升逾2%,创2012年12月以来新高,并在周二亚盘逐步增加走高。同时发生疫情出现的替代增加美联储无限量宽松也部分施压美元,也 对黄金构成支撑。总体而言,发生黄金突破了关键的压力位1703.39美元,短时间上行的动力明显。CFTC持仓数据显示,近一个月基金经理的黄金净多头持仓基本没有变化,暗示基金经理 正在观望以寻找入场的时机

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