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基本面交易分析 – 5月24 – 28日:

In Market Shorts
May 24, 2021

基本面交易分析 – 5月24 – 28日:

1. 美國經濟復甦緩慢,制約了美聯儲減少或改變量化寬鬆政策的動力。就業市場與消費市場的疲軟,表明經濟復甦並無預想中的進展快速,依然需要強力的貨幣政策的刺激拉動。本周依然需要關注美國各項經濟數據變化。除此之外,美聯儲對於經濟變化的各種言論和傾向,也應重點給予留意。

2. 印度疫情情況不容樂觀,可以構成對黃金的避險支撐,使支撐價格居高不下,本週預計很難有較為明顯的改觀,但需要注意主要國家的疫苗利好信息。

綜上所述,黃金上升驅動力較為強勁,本週總體價格走勢較大可能繼續維持震盪上行,有望突破1900關鍵阻力位。

技術分析:上升強勁,阻力位明確

1小時圖上,上週價格從1843位置震盪上行至最高1889,週六以1879.34收盤。週三受基本面影響,漲幅最大。可以明顯看出目前支撐價格走勢的為重要基本面信息。 5日/10日均線上,最大背離發生於週三,其後糾纏波動,價格從周三以後基本處於回調區間。

目前K線顯示依舊處於上升區間,上升動能明顯充足,MACD動能指標在零軸之上,雙線交叉,有望再次走出新一波上升行情。但強力阻力位置為1890和1900則較為明顯,本週預計市場將繼續測試1890,如突破則進一步衝擊1900關鍵整數位。

場外式黃金/白銀交易的風險:
Service relating to Over-the-counter (OTC) Gold Bullion/Silver trading is provided by MOL. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion trading carries a high degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion is not regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission (""SFC"") and therefore trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion will not be subject to rules or regulations promulgated by the SFC. Before deciding to trade OTC Gold/Silver Bullion you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain losses in excess of your deposited fund or even more in extreme circumstances and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you require.