欧央行随时推出政策救市, 黄金有机会在未来下行

In 每日市场分析
May 25, 2020

欧央行随时推出政策救市

根据欧央行上周公开的 4 月份议息会议记录中显示,该行随时准备会推出更多政策救助经济。现市场关注欧央行会否於6 月的议息会便有所行动。而据路透社所作的调查显示,市场现估计欧央行於6 月 4 日的议息会有机会增加 3.75 亿欧元的量宽金额规模。至於购买的对象不一定是政府债券,还可能有企业债券。市场有这样预测也非无道理。受疫情影响,不少欧洲大企业均被调低了评级,削弱了这些企业的举债能力,所以欧央行实在有必要帮助他们。

黄金有机会在未来下行

本周初因为鲍威尔推迟了美国经济复苏的预期,使得市场避险情绪升温,这使得黄金刷新7年半高位。不过随着疫苗进展的消息,同时随着更多的国家解除封锁措施推动经济复苏,此外国际贸易紧张情绪升温使得市场出现恐慌性抛售,对金价构成压力。因此黄金在本周开局良好的情况下未能延续两周的涨势。不过随着全球经济下行压力依旧高企,同时美联储资产负债表破7万亿且承诺进一步扩大宽松,黄金仍受到强劲的支撑。

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