黃金持續下跌,受連續加息預期影響
週一(6月13日),現貨黃金跌近1%,幾乎回吐上個交易日全部漲勢,因美元指數升創5月13日以來新高至104.917,炙手可熱的美國通脹數據料迫使美聯儲深化激進加息政策,未來如何對抗瀕臨失控的通脹將成為市場關注的焦點。美聯儲官員希望在不破壞勞動力市場且不至於導致經濟陷入衰退的情況下推高利率,但被迫加速升息應對高通脹將使之成為一項艱鉅的任務。
美聯儲決策者將在本週會議結束時發布他們對本輪升息終極目標的預測。在經濟放緩到足以降低通脹之前,失業率(目前為3.6%)可能會升到多高,美聯儲也將對此作出預測。
繼5月份加息50個基點和本月啟動縮減資產負債表之後,美聯儲決策者幾乎承諾在本周和7月會議上繼續各加息50個基點。而一些機構甚至預測,不排除美聯儲本週加息75個基點。
本週現貨黃金將持續性延續下跌趨勢,目前價格已經觸及1820位置,本周可能進一步下探1800整數位。
技術分析:
上週後期價格上漲趨勢較強,最高觸及1878位置,隨後反轉形態向下,本週開盤後持續延續下跌趨勢,目前已經下降至1822位置。下降幅度較大。 MACD上,零軸以上動能逐漸衰弱,指引下降趨勢將持續保持,最低可能下探1820位置。
本週重要信息 :
週三:20:30 美國5月零售銷售月率(%)
週四:02:00 美國6月聯邦基金利率目標上限(%)
場外式黃金/白銀交易的風險:
Service relating to Over-the-counter (OTC) Gold Bullion/Silver trading is provided by MOL. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion trading carries a high degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion is not regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission (""SFC"") and therefore trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion will not be subject to rules or regulations promulgated by the SFC. Before deciding to trade OTC Gold/Silver Bullion you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain losses in excess of your deposited fund or even more in extreme circumstances and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you require.
Service relating to Over-the-counter (OTC) Gold Bullion/Silver trading is provided by MOL. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion trading carries a high degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion is not regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission (""SFC"") and therefore trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion will not be subject to rules or regulations promulgated by the SFC. Before deciding to trade OTC Gold/Silver Bullion you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain losses in excess of your deposited fund or even more in extreme circumstances and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you require.