美元形勢不明朗，黃金繼續承壓
週一(7月18日)，現貨黃金反彈，美元指數創一周新低至107.18，進一步脫離上週創下的近20年高位109.303。多名美聯儲官員上週暗示，他們不贊成本月加快升息步伐。美聯儲已進入本月政策會議前的緘默期。若最終證明美聯儲口是心非，將被外界解讀為病急亂投醫，並損及美聯儲信譽。
《華爾街日報》本月進行的調查顯示，美國經濟未來12個月內出現衰退的可能性為49%。約46%的經濟學家預計，美聯儲會過度加息，並造成不必要的經濟疲軟；12.3%的經濟學家認為美聯儲會加息不足；42%的經濟學家表示，美聯儲會適度加息幅度，以平衡通脹和增長。
本週開盤以來現貨黃金依舊承壓下行的趨勢，預計本週將會持續，因為美元前景晦澀不明，現貨黃金沒有強大的趨勢動能，本週會延續低位徘徊下行的行情，向下目標看齊1700.
技術分析：
本週主要呈現下行趨勢，價格連續刺穿布林帶下軌線，在下軌道線區間運行，1700點處企穩，反轉向上進入上軌道，但總體向上趨勢不明朗，主要還在震盪徘徊區間運行。
本週重要信息：
週四：20:30 美國截至7月16日當周初請失業金人數(萬)
場外式黃金/白銀交易的風險:
Service relating to Over-the-counter (OTC) Gold Bullion/Silver trading is provided by MOL. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion trading carries a high degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion is not regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission (""SFC"") and therefore trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion will not be subject to rules or regulations promulgated by the SFC. Before deciding to trade OTC Gold/Silver Bullion you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain losses in excess of your deposited fund or even more in extreme circumstances and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you require.
Service relating to Over-the-counter (OTC) Gold Bullion/Silver trading is provided by MOL. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion trading carries a high degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion is not regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission (""SFC"") and therefore trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion will not be subject to rules or regulations promulgated by the SFC. Before deciding to trade OTC Gold/Silver Bullion you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain losses in excess of your deposited fund or even more in extreme circumstances and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you require.
