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每週黃金價格走勢回顧 (23/8/2022)

In Weekly Recap
August 23, 2022

週二(8月23日)亞市盤初,現貨黃金在近四周低位附近徘徊,目前交投於1737美元附近,隔夜金價延續跌勢,最低觸及1727.69美元/盎司,為7月28日以來新低,且為連續六個交易日收跌,投資者愈發擔心美國和歐洲加息以遏制通脹的行動會削弱全球經濟,美元的避險需求再度飆升,幫助美元創逾五週新高,逼近7月份創下的近二十年高點,對金價打壓明顯;而且市場預期本周美聯儲主席鮑威爾將在傑克遜霍爾年會上發表鷹派講話。

整體來看,市場關注重點是美聯儲主席鮑威爾週五在傑克森霍爾央行研討會上的講話,以進一步了解聯儲在未來加息方面可能有多激進。分析師普遍預計鮑威爾將發出鷹派聲音,該預期偏向進一步支撐美元並打壓金價,金價短線偏向進一步試探7月27日低點1711.38附近支撐,甚至是1700關口附近,布林線下軌支撐也相去不遠。上方留意5日均線1748.22附近阻力。

本週價格預測主要以平穩下滑為主要基調,目前價格在1737位置,可考慮下跌市場為主,目標1700位置。

技術分析: 

上周至今市場主要以下跌為主要背景,下跌趨勢平緩穩定,由1770區間下跌至1730區間。布林帶走勢平滑,中間沒有出現較大規模回調,整體趨勢明顯。目前價格略有反彈,處於布林帶上軌道區間觸及上軌線後向下。市場依然主要處於下降區間,下降動能較為明顯。

本週重要信息: 

週三:20:30  美國7月耐用品訂單月率初值(%)

週四:20:30  美國第二季度實際GDP年化季率修正值(%)


場外式黃金/白銀交易的風險:
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