每週黃金價格走勢回顧 (5/7/2022)

In Weekly Recap
July 05, 2022

美元震盪走弱,刺激黃金周內反彈

上周至今黃金價格震盪下行,價格由1832高點下行至1784,本週開盤後反彈,形成V字型反轉,目前在1808位置。

國際金價在震盪中小幅走高,因為美國國債收益率疲軟使金價站穩1800美元大關上方,且美元多頭在假日中稍事休息,金價短線反彈。但金價似乎不太可能在更長時間內走強,管理基金和大型投機者正在增加對黃金的空頭押注。美聯儲政策制定者上週鞏固了對進一步收緊貨幣政策的預期,暗示7月份將再次加息75個基點。

美元至本週一以來,持續震盪走弱,美聯儲對抗拒通脹的堅決態度加強了市場對美元的慣性預期,限制了黃金價格的反彈。

本週市場價格可能繼續維持震盪略微下行的趨勢。目前1809價格可能會在1790-1820價格區間內震盪,本週五公佈的非農數據將會是非常重要的指標,也可能會間接緩解或者進一步刺激黃金價格。週一美國獨立日假期市場較為清淡,市場目前主要等待週五的非農就業數據,

技術分析: 

上週市場價格主要呈現震盪下行趨勢,價格在1820區間下降至1780區間,下降過程中市場連續刺穿布林帶下軌線,至底部價格上探,越過上軌道線,目前依舊在上軌道區間,呈現向上趨勢。目前價格呈現劇中震盪趨勢,主要觀察是否可連續上軌道線判斷短期趨勢。

本週重要信息: 

週二:22:00  美國5月工廠訂單月率(%)

週五:20:30  美國6月非農就業人口變動季調後(萬)


場外式黃金/白銀交易的風險:
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