油组和非油组产油国家决定把现时每日减产行动延长7 月, 经济复苏预期打压黄金

In 每日市场分析
June 08, 2020

油组和非油组产油国家决定把现时每日减产行动延长7 月
於过去周末的会後,油组加上非油组产油国家同意,把现时每日减产 970 万桶的行动延长多 1 月个至 7 月底。而由於国家如尼日利亚及伊拉克於 5 月及 6 月的减产期间没因应油组要求作出真正减产,所以他们於 7 月份将补回其於 5丶6 月应减数额。油组未开会前,有分析曾估计油组或会延长减产期至 8 月底。但现在只为 7 月底,似乎油组是不想过份推升油价,尤其不想油价重上 50 美元水平,使美国页岩石油得到喘息机会。

经济复苏预期打压黄金
上周五因为非农数据大幅好於预期,强化了市场对於美国经济复苏的预期,同时交易商放弃负利率押注,加上黄金大跌触发了止损导致黄金遭遇进一步的抛售,是疫情二次蔓延风险依旧存在,同时国际贸易紧张局势可能延缓全球经济复苏的步伐,因此也支撑金价。最重要的是全球持续巨量的宽松最终将引发通胀,这也对金价有利。本周关注美国CPI数据和美联储决议。

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