澳央行加息至2.35%水平

In Market Shorts
September 07, 2022
澳央行周二(6 日) 宣布加息 50 基點,把其官方息率推上 2.35%水平。在其聲明中,澳央行行長洛威指,維持價格穩定是保經濟及就業長遠發展的先決條件。言下之意,洛威似乎是傾向要繼續加息。現市場估計,於 10 月 4 日議息會澳央行會續加息,但加幅料將只有 25 基點,機率為市場共識。從近期澳洲公布的經濟數字,如失業率降至只有3.4%,是自 1974 年以來最低,及出口強勢等所見,似乎暫時看不到澳央行的連環加息對澳洲經濟帶來任何負面影響。澳元的基礎因素雖好,但分析澳元匯價走勢不能忽略區內兩大貨幣變化,分別是人民幣及日圓走勢。最 近,人民幣明顯跌破了 6.97 兌 1 美元水平,而日圓匯價更跌近 142 兌 1 美元。澳洲的出口主要面向亞洲,中國及日本更是其兩個最大出口市場。

場外式黃金/白銀交易的風險:
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