美国经济有复苏的现象, 金价再次大幅上升

In 每日市场分析
July 03, 2020

美国经济有复苏的现象
美国 6 月份非农业职位增加 480 万份,创有历史以来最高,增幅亦远高於市场预期的 300 万份,前月为增加 270 万份。期内,失业率由前月的 13.3%续降至 11.1%,亦优於市场预期的 12.3%。受惠於封锁措施逐步放宽,当地休闲及酒店业的就业率大幅上升。另外,零售贸易丶教育丶卫生服务丶服务业丶制造业丶专业及商业服务等就业情况均出现显着增长。至於 6 月平均每小时工资按年则增加5%,增幅不及市场预期的 5.3%,前值为增加 6.7%。美国就业报告虽见强劲,惟近两星期当地新增确诊病例激增,使市场对经济复苏前景感担忧。

金价再次大幅上升
周四(7月2日)美元小幅上涨,再次展现避险吸引力,投资者担心美国新增病例数飙升可能会抹去夏季录得的就业增长。金价大幅回升,现货黄金一度较日低上扬逾20美元,最高触及1779.71美元/盎司,虽然6月非农数据远超预期,但近期美国疫情升温後对经济的影响还未被计入。受美国经济从疫情中复苏的迹象鼓舞,油价在美国假期前夕收於近四个月以来高位,不过对疫情加重的担忧情绪挥之不去。

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