美國能源部指全球石油需求存在很大的不確定性因素

In Market Shorts
December 08, 2021
美國能源部12月7日發布「短期能源展望」(Short-Term Energy Outlook, STEO)月報表示,全球石油需求仍然存在很大的不確定性,因為需求從疫情當中恢復的道路仍然容易受阻,世界衛生組織揭露Omicron之後造成市場的震盪即為一例。11月,布蘭特原油現貨價為每桶81美元,較前月下跌3美元,但與去年同期相比仍上漲了每桶38美元,主要因為過去一年以來全球石油庫存穩定下滑的影響。今年前三季,國際油市的庫存平均減少140萬桶/日。進入12月份,由於Omicron的衝擊,布蘭特原油價格跌至每桶70美元以下。報告預估,12月布蘭特原油均價為每桶71美元,2022年第一季的均價為每桶73美元,2022全年的均價預估則為每桶70美元,因石油輸出國組織及其產油盟國(OPEC+)的穩定增產,以及美國與其他國家的產油增長,有望逐漸趕上需求增速的影響。

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