评级机构惠誉将日本评级展望从「稳定」下调至「负面」, 美国联储局维持利率不 变

In 每日市场分析
July 30, 2020

评级机构惠誉将日本评级展望从「稳定」下调至「负面」
评级机构惠誉维持日本於「A」级水平不变,但将评级展望从「稳定」下调至「负面」,意味有机会调低评级。因日本政府为遏制新冠病毒疫情,未来财政赤字及公共债务将会大幅增加。此外,惠誉预期,日本 2020 年 GDP 按年将会收缩 5%,而至 2021 年则会反弹至增长 3.2%,而最快可需能要到2021 年末季,才有望恢复到疫情前的水平。受疫情及中美纷争影响,当地经济持续疲弱,若再加上日圆升值因素,可算是雪上加霜。这难怪日本央行副总裁雨宫正佳周三表示,若央行进一步放宽货币政策,不排除再下调负利率的可能性,此举或有助压止资金流入日圆作避险用途。

美国联储局维持利率不变
美国联储局於议息会议後,宣布维持利率不变,符合市场预期。会後声明指,美国经济活动及就业近月已增加,但仍远低於年初水平。并预期疫情短期内将会严重影响经济活动丶就业及通胀前景,且对中期前景构成相当大风险。局方认为经济前景很大程度取决於疫情发展,重申利率将维持於现水平,直至局方有信心经济已经克服疫情为止。此外,主席鲍威尔更指疫情拖低通胀,多项贷款计划包括针对小型企业和企业债,可能会维持一段较长时间。言论增加市场对局方或有待政府财政刺激方案明朗化後,最快将於 9 月宣布再度放宽政策的机率。

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