本周金價滑落,等待七月美聯儲利率決議
本周金價處於寬幅震盪區間,價格由就1821高位平穩下落,最後以1801收尾,期間數次下探1800以下,承壓明顯。但整體依舊處於震盪區間,沒有明顯趨勢產生,基本面依然處於支撐金價的局勢。
美國經濟情況走勢尚且不甚明朗,通脹依舊持續加劇而美聯儲尚且沒有加息的預期,市場存在對通脹失控的憂慮。美股表現良好,穩中求進,整體處於持續上升的階段。
下週最需要密切關注的是7月份美聯儲的利率決議,但是幾乎可以肯定的是,美聯儲將繼續維持目前的鴿派政策,繼續放任通脹的上升藉以刺激就業,以彌補欠佳的就業以及失業數字。
有專家預測,疫情后的美國經濟增長或許已經走到了頂端,繼續通脹將引發膨脹而帶來不良的後果,調查預計,在就業增加、居民儲蓄和財政政策的共同作用下,未來一年美國經濟將保持穩健增長,但增速逐步放緩。今年三季度經濟增速將放緩至7%,全年經濟預計增長6.9%,2022年和2023年經濟增速將分別下降至3.2%和2.3%。
數據表明,美國經濟很有可能持續放緩,由此引來對金價的支撐,美元在持續的QE增發大背景下,也可能走勢震盪加劇。
變異新冠病毒德爾塔株傳染擴大,疫情在已經得到一定程度的抑制前提下再次反撲,多國又陸續出台了新的防疫政策,新的疫苗推進緩慢,經濟復甦也遙遙無期,其中尤其以歐洲地區為重,歐洲的經濟復甦也面臨更加嚴重的挑戰。
綜上所述,基本面對金價在中期形成支撐,在本週,美聯儲利率決議是關鍵因素,將在短線影響價格,除此之外,可能總體呈現寬幅震蕩的上行形態。
上週價格在震盪下行的整理中結束,本週因為有美聯儲利率決議事宜,短線影響較大,總體考慮震盪上行。
上週收市前價格承壓,在1800位置整理,MACD動能帶處於零軸下方,承壓明顯,週一開市需觀察快慢線形態是否上升,如交叉上行接近零軸,則可以考慮短線漲勢。
本週重點信息:
美國截至7月17日當周續請失業金人數(萬)
風險提示: 場外式黃金/白銀交易涉及高度風險,未必適合所有投資者。高度的槓桿可為閣下帶來負面或正面的影響。閣下在決定買賣場外式黃金/白銀之前應審慎考慮自己的投資目標、交易經驗以及風險接受程度。可能出現的情況包括蒙受部分或全部初始投資額的損失,或在極端情況下(例如相關市場跳空)產生更多的損失。因此,閣下不應將無法承受損失的資金用於投資。投資應知悉買賣場外式黃金/白銀有關的一切風險,如有需要,請向獨立財務顧問尋求意見。市場資料僅供參考,Z.com Bullion 絕不保証分析內容的準確性。
立即按此 訂閱 每週黃金走勢分析報告,優先獲取市場最新資訊
場外式黃金/白銀交易的風險:
Service relating to Over-the-counter (OTC) Gold Bullion/Silver trading is provided by MOL. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion trading carries a high degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion is not regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission (""SFC"") and therefore trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion will not be subject to rules or regulations promulgated by the SFC. Before deciding to trade OTC Gold/Silver Bullion you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain losses in excess of your deposited fund or even more in extreme circumstances and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you require.
Service relating to Over-the-counter (OTC) Gold Bullion/Silver trading is provided by MOL. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion trading carries a high degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion is not regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission (""SFC"") and therefore trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion will not be subject to rules or regulations promulgated by the SFC. Before deciding to trade OTC Gold/Silver Bullion you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain losses in excess of your deposited fund or even more in extreme circumstances and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you require.