上周三欧盘时段出现强劲的下跌动能,直接打 穿2057和2047两个支持位,虽然周四晚出现反弹,但力量明显不及左边的下跌强,而且亦未有打破下跌结构。 短线操作的话,可留意阻力位2057,这位置是周三的突破位,而且周五晚出数据后,价格向下收了支针,形成了下跌通道,2057就在下跌通道顶附近,短线可 在这布署向下,目标系通道底刚好又是2017的互换位。 价格来到2017后反弹力 弱和出现震荡,直到昨晚出现较强的急跌急升,从4H图看2017是早前升段的0.618,明显互换位和上升趋势线上,在这布署较为有利。 但要留意价格2042这位置,因为这是前顶,前横行中线和下跌通道顶,等明显升穿再揾位入会较有利。 K.Lam风险提示: 场外式黄金/白银交易涉及高度风险,未必适合所有投资者。 高度的杠杆可为阁下带来负面或正面的影响。 阁下在决定买卖场外式黄金/白银之前应审慎考虑自己的投资目标、交易经验以及风险接受程度。 可能出现的情况包括蒙受部分或全部初始投资额的损失,或在极端情况下(例如相关市场跳空)产生更多的损失。 因此,阁下不应将无法承受损失的资金用于投资。 投资应知悉买卖场外式黄金/白银有关的一切风险,如有需要,请向独立财务顾问寻求意见。 市场资料仅供参考,MAX Online 绝不保证分析内容的准确性。
唐納德·特朗普週一在《真相社會》(Truth Social) 帖子中發表評論稱,他將於週二出席在華盛頓特區舉行的關於其總統豁免權範圍的上訴法院聽證會。他說:“作為美國總統和三軍統帥,我當然有權享有豁免權。” 檢察官指控 2024 年共和黨總統提名的領跑者特朗普試圖透過計劃扭轉民主黨總統喬·拜登 2020 年選舉勝利,阻礙國會並欺騙美國政府。特朗普辯稱,該案應該被駁回,因為前總統不能因其公務職責相關的行為而面臨刑事指控。 美國地區法官 Tanya Chutkan 於 12 月 1 日駁回了這項主張,促使特朗普向美國哥倫比亞特區巡迴上訴法院提出上訴。 特朗普的上訴暫停了他的審判,目前定於三月進行。上個月,美國最高法院拒絕立即裁決前總統唐納德·特朗普關於他不能因試圖推翻 2020 年大選失敗而被起訴的主張,從而允許下級法院繼續審查該問題。
Gold pulled back from its recent high last week, rejected by 2078 early during Monday’s US session. It cleared the 2050(1) support on Wed., triggering a round of selling and falling to an early weekly low of 2030. The price stayed within the range of 2035-2050, waiting for the release of US job data. When the data was announced, there was an increase in volatility; however, the closing price didn’t show any significant changes.
1-hour chart – Gold price is still fluctuating within the range of 2035-2050 after the US job data. In the past 48 trading hours, an S-T support has formed, and traders can consider utilizing the triangle pattern(2). Expect a breakout within the next 24 hours. The key event for this week will be the release of US core inflation data on Thursday.
Daily chart – A strong US job data last Friday has led to a strong US dollar punching the gold prices lower. On the other hand, it also reinforced expectations of an early interest rate cut, indicating a potential “soft landing” for the US economy, lifting the gold price up. The market as a result still lacks a clear direction. The 20-day MA(4) remains critical; and the previously mentioned upward support line (6) is still valid, and attention should be given to the larger triangle pattern on the daily chart (5) this week. Within the next 5-7 days, it is crucial for gold to break above the resistance zone of 2070-2080; if it fails to do so, the price will escape the upward support (6), and the overall structure on the daily chart will enter a sideways pattern.
S-T ressitance 3
2055-1
S-T ressitance 2
2050
S-T ressitance 1
2046
Market price
2045
S-T support 1
2044
S-T support 2
2039-40
S-T support 3
2035
P. To
Risk Disclosure: Gold Bullion/Silver (“Bullion”) trading carries a high degree of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. This article is for reference only and is not a solicitation or advice to trade any currencies and investment products . Before deciding to trade Bullion you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment or even more in extreme circumstances (such as Gapping underlying markets) and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading Bullion, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you require. Client should not make investment decision solely based on the point of view and information on this article.
場外式黃金/白銀交易的風險:
Service relating to Over-the-counter (OTC) Gold Bullion/Silver trading is provided by MOL. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion trading carries a high degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion is not regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission (""SFC"") and therefore trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion will not be subject to rules or regulations promulgated by the SFC. Before deciding to trade OTC Gold/Silver Bullion you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain losses in excess of your deposited fund or even more in extreme circumstances and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you require.
黄金上周从高位回落,周一美盘先试全周高位(2078)后回落,周三失守2050(1)支持后触发一轮沽盘(空单),跌至早段低位2030。等待美就业数据公布前整体在2035-50区间内震荡,数据公布时波幅放大,但最终收市价格仍未有出现明显变化。
1小时图 – 现时金价仍在美就业数据公布前2035-50区间内上落,过去48交易小时形成了短线上升支持,短线可把握消化性三角形(2)操作。预期未来24小时应会有突破。本周关键会是周四公布的美国核心通胀数据。
日线图- 20天移动平均线(4)仍然有效,经过上周五美就业数据后,数据做好让美金走强令金价走弱,但同时亦强化美国经济”软着陆” 提早减息的预期,令市场仍未有明确方向。早前提及的上升支持线(6)仍然有效,本周须留意日线图较大的三角形趋势(5),未来1周必须突破上方阻力2070-80,否则日线图将脱离上升支持(6 ),结构将进入横行格局。
短线阻力 3
2055
短线阻力 2
2050
短线阻力 1
2046
现价
2045
短线支持 1
2044
短线支持 2
2039-40
短线支持 3
2035
P. To
風險提示: 場外式黃金/白銀交易涉及高度風險,未必適合所有投資者。高度的槓桿可為閣下帶來負面或正面的影響。閣下在決定買賣場外式黃金/白銀之前應審慎考慮自己的投資目標、交易經驗以及風險接受程度。可能出現的情況包括蒙受部分或全部初始投資額的損失,或在極端情況下(例如相關市場跳空)產生更多的損失。因此,閣下不應將無法承受損失的資金用於投資。投資應知悉買賣場外式黃金/白銀有關的一切風險,如有需要,請向獨立財務顧問尋求意見。市場資料僅供參考,我們絕不保証分析內容的準確性。
黃金上週從高位回落,週一美盤先試全週高位(2078)後回落,週三失守2050(1)支持後觸發一輪沽盤(空單),跌至早段低位2030。等待美就業數據公佈前整體在2035-50區間內震蕩,數據公佈時波幅放大,但最終收市價格仍未有出現明顯變化。
1小時圖 – 現時金價仍在美就業數據公佈前2035-50區間內上落,過去48交易小時形成了短線上升支持,短線可把握消化性三角形(2)操作。預期未來24小時應會有突破。本週關鍵會時週四公佈的美國核心通脹數據。
日線圖 – 20天移動平均線(4)仍然有效,經過上週五美就業數據後,數據做好讓美金走強令金價走弱,但同時亦強化美國經濟 “軟著陸” 提早減息的預期,令市場仍未有明確方向。早前提及的上升支持線(6)仍然有效,本週須留意日線圖較大的三角形趨勢(5),未來1週必須突破上方阻力2070-80,否則日線圖將脫離上升支持(6),結構將進入橫行格局。
短線阻力 3
2055
短線阻力 2
2050
短線阻力 1
2046
現價
2045
短線支持 1
2044
短線支持 2
2039-40
短線阻力 3
2035
P. To
風險提示: 場外式黃金/白銀交易涉及高度風險,未必適合所有投資者。高度的槓桿可為閣下帶來負面或正面的影響。閣下在決定買賣場外式黃金/白銀之前應審慎考慮自己的投資目標、交易經驗以及風險接受程度。可能出現的情況包括蒙受部分或全部初始投資額的損失,或在極端情況下(例如相關市場跳空)產生更多的損失。因此,閣下不應將無法承受損失的資金用於投資。投資應知悉買賣場外式黃金/白銀有關的一切風險,如有需要,請向獨立財務顧問尋求意見。市場資料僅供參考,我們絕不保証分析內容的準確性。
美國財政部週二報告稱,美國聯邦政府的公共債務總額首次達到34萬億美元,國會議員正在為未來幾週內的另一系列聯邦資金爭奪戰做準備。週五的每日財政部聲明顯示,未償公共債務總額從週四的 33.911 美元增加到 34.001 兆美元。計入聯邦債務上限的債務從週四的 33.794 兆美元增至週五的 33.89 兆美元。 這種「受限制的債務」類別不包括國庫券和零息債券的未攤銷折扣、聯邦金融銀行發行的債務以及某些其他機構的擔保債務。這一里程碑是在 9 月聯邦債務突破 33 兆美元後不久出現的,原因是稅收下降和聯邦支出增加導致聯邦赤字上升。 國會下週將返回華盛頓,在 1 月 19 日和 2 月 2 日的最後期限內解決截至 9 月的政府支出問題,共和黨要求將 2024 財年可自由支配支出削減至 6 月商定的上限以下。 立法者還希望透過對烏克蘭和以色列的緊急援助,可能附加不相關的美國邊境安全條款。如果未能批准 12 項 2024 財政年度支出法案,華盛頓機構將陷入關閉模式。 但隨著 11 月的總統和國會選舉迅速成為焦點,達成妥協可能會變得更加困難。
12月中出現大動能的上升後,升勢一直持續,雖然上週去到2070(前假突破的發力點)出現一段較強的反彈力量,但最後下跌力量未有延續,反而不斷出HIGHER LOW 升穿了這個阻力位。從較細的圖表可看到,22號美盤時段數據公報後,在2070出現急升急跌,跌破上升結構後未有延續,反而做了橫行後發力上破,最後回測橫行的中線位2055再繼續向上到達上週高位2088。現時中長線方向仍是向上看較利,因為大圖級別仍未見有較強的下跌力量,可以留意2047(明顯互換位)和2035前橫行中線,如出現急跌急升或橫行上破,可能是一個不錯的機會。現價在2070附近,型態上可以見到上升速度減慢,而且開始出現LOWER LOW,短線有機會向下行一段先,短線做淡可能是一個不錯的機會,但留意返2047和2035的支持位。K.Lam風險提示: 場外式黃金/白銀交易涉及高度風險,未必適合所有投資者。高度的槓桿可為閣下帶來負面或正面的影響。閣下在決定買賣場外式黃金/白銀之前應審慎考慮自己的投資目標、交易經驗以及風險接受程度。可能出現的情況包括蒙受部分或全部初始投資額的損失,或在極端情況下(例如相關市場跳空)產生更多的損失。因此,閣下不應將無法承受損失的資金用於投資。投資應知悉買賣場外式黃金/白銀有關的一切風險,如有需要,請向獨立財務顧問尋求意見。市場資料僅供參考,MAX Online 絕不保証分析內容的準確性。
Expect the price to consolidate further in S-T before the trading volume returns from the holiday.
1-hour chart – Gold prices reached a recent high of 2088 in early trading last Thu. However, it failed to hold above 2080. After the price escaped from the uptrend channel(1) at the end of last week, gold formed an S-T downward channel(2) in the past 48 trading hours. The price has departed from the downward trend (2) early in the Asian session today, indicating an S-T rebound. After touching 2070, expect the price to be bounded by 2050-70.
Daily Chart – The overall trading volume in the gold market has been low since Dec. 20th. Without significant trading volume driving, the gold price failed to hold above 2081(4), and experienced a round of profit-taking during this holiday period. The resistance zone remains between 2070-2075. Unless the price can clear this resistance, we can expect the price to consolidate further. Support levels to watch below include the 20-day MA(5) and the support line (6). Gold needs to wait for a high-volume environment in order for it to surge higher. Keeping an eye on the release of US employment data at the end of this week.
S-T ressitance 3
2080-1
S-T ressitance 2
2075
S-T ressitance 1
2070-72
Market price
2069
S-T support 1
2060
S-T support 2
2055
S-T support 3
2050
P. To
Risk Disclosure: Gold Bullion/Silver (“Bullion”) trading carries a high degree of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. This article is for reference only and is not a solicitation or advice to trade any currencies and investment products . Before deciding to trade Bullion you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment or even more in extreme circumstances (such as Gapping underlying markets) and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading Bullion, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you require. Client should not make investment decision solely based on the point of view and information on this article.
場外式黃金/白銀交易的風險:
Service relating to Over-the-counter (OTC) Gold Bullion/Silver trading is provided by MOL. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion trading carries a high degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion is not regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission (""SFC"") and therefore trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion will not be subject to rules or regulations promulgated by the SFC. Before deciding to trade OTC Gold/Silver Bullion you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain losses in excess of your deposited fund or even more in extreme circumstances and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you require.
金价上周四早盘再次触及2088的近期高位,但未能站稳2080之上。在同日美盘回落,跌穿早前提及的上升通道(1)后,进入短线调整。
1小时图 – 金价在上周尾段失守上升通道(1)后,周未前形成了短线的下降通道(2)。今早开市趋势已脱离了下降趋势(2),短线会有一轮反弹,但预期短线会以区间2050-70(3)操作为主。
日线图 – 自12月20日圣诞假期前,金市的整体成交量开始减少。在缺乏成交量推动的情况下,金价未能企稳2081(4)之上,出现短线的获利平仓,回落到2070之下。日线图阻力区仍在2070-75之间,趋势短线以调整为主,下方目标留意20天移动均线及上升支持线(6)。若要继续往上突破,金价仍须等待较大成交量的市场环境,留意本周尾段的美国就业数据公布。
短线阻力 3
2080-81
短线阻力 2
2075
短线阻力 1
2070-72
现价
2069
短线支持 1
2060
短线支持 2
2055
短线支持 3
2050
P. To
風險提示: 場外式黃金/白銀交易涉及高度風險,未必適合所有投資者。高度的槓桿可為閣下帶來負面或正面的影響。閣下在決定買賣場外式黃金/白銀之前應審慎考慮自己的投資目標、交易經驗以及風險接受程度。可能出現的情況包括蒙受部分或全部初始投資額的損失,或在極端情況下(例如相關市場跳空)產生更多的損失。因此,閣下不應將無法承受損失的資金用於投資。投資應知悉買賣場外式黃金/白銀有關的一切風險,如有需要,請向獨立財務顧問尋求意見。市場資料僅供參考,我们絕不保証分析內容的準確性。
金價上週四早盤再次觸及2088的近期高位,但未能站穩2080之上。在同日美盤回落,跌穿早前提及的上升通道(1)後,進入短線調整。
1小時圖 – 金價在上週尾段失守上升通道(1)後,週未前形成了短線的下降通道(2)。今早開市趨勢已脫離了下降趨勢(2),短線會有一輪反彈,但預期短線會以區間2050-70(3)操作為主。
日線圖 – 自12月20日聖誕假期前,金市的整體成交量開始減少。在缺乏成交量推動的情況下,金價未能企穩2081(4)之上,出現短線的獲利平倉,回落到2070之下。日線圖阻力區仍在2070-75之間,趨勢短線以調整為主,下方目標留意20天移動均線及上升支持線(6)。若要繼續往上突破,金價仍須等待較大成交量的市場環境,留意本週尾段的美國就業數據公佈。
短線阻力 3
2080-81
短線阻力 2
2075
短線阻力 1
2070-72
現價
2069
短線支持 1
2060
短線支持 2
2055
短線阻力 3
2050
P. To
風險提示: 場外式黃金/白銀交易涉及高度風險,未必適合所有投資者。高度的槓桿可為閣下帶來負面或正面的影響。閣下在決定買賣場外式黃金/白銀之前應審慎考慮自己的投資目標、交易經驗以及風險接受程度。可能出現的情況包括蒙受部分或全部初始投資額的損失,或在極端情況下(例如相關市場跳空)產生更多的損失。因此,閣下不應將無法承受損失的資金用於投資。投資應知悉買賣場外式黃金/白銀有關的一切風險,如有需要,請向獨立財務顧問尋求意見。市場資料僅供參考,我們絕不保証分析內容的準確性。