中國官方媒體引述中共中央財經辦公室官員的話稱，預計2024年中國經濟將面臨更多有利條件、機會多於挑戰。官方新華社在12月11日至12日舉行的年度中央經濟工作會議的詳細報道中表示，宏觀經濟政策將繼續為經濟復甦提供支持，高層領導人在會議上製定了明年的經濟目標。新華社週日晚間引述中央財經委員會辦公室的話稱，中國物價水平較低，中央政府債務水平不高，具備加強貨幣財政政策實施的條件。但國內經濟週期仍面臨瓶頸，需求、消費、企業投資仍疲軟。中共官員表示，明年中國將尋求從疫情後復甦轉向持續消費成長。 國際貨幣基金組織上個月將中國今年的經濟成長預測上調至 5.4%，將這項修正歸因於新冠疫情後「強勁」的復甦。 政府設定的目標是5%左右。全球第二大經濟體也將培育智慧家居、休閒旅遊、運動賽事等新的消費成長領域。報告稱，今年國債發行、降息、減稅降費等政策的效應將持續到明年。中國也將持續關注受創的房地產市場，滿足房地產企業的合理融資需求。
After the Fed. Meeting last week, gold climbed above 2000, while the market refocused on an early rate cut next year. Powell’s dovish comments further tuned the market’s sentiments; the latest CME FedWatch tools indicate that there is currently a close to 70% chance of a 1/4 basis point rate cut next March, while there is almost 95% chance of a 1/4 basis point rate cut in May next year. On the day of the Fed meeting, gold prices rose nearly $50(1), and technically, it is currently neutralizing the selling pressure that occurred from the 2146 drop on December 4th.
1-hour chart – In the past 48 hours, gold prices have been oscillating within the 2020-50 range(2). There hasn’t been a significant trading volume that would lead to a breakout from the range. Until gold can break free from this range, take advantage of the S-T range(2). There haven’t been any important economic data releases at the beginning of this week. However, if further consolidation occurs later this week, the next range to watch out for would be between 2000-20(4). The descending trend line(3) still needs confirmation but can still serve as a reference for S-T strategies.
Daily chart – Currently, gold prices are finding support at 2017 – 20 MA(5). There is still relatively strong selling pressure around the 2035-47 range (6). For S-T trading on the daily chart, 2017-47 should be the range for now. If the gold price can close within or above the 2035-47 range by the end of this week, it would be the first signal that gold prices are preparing to test a new high.
S-T ressitance 3
2015
S-T ressitance 2
2010
S-T ressitance 1
2007
Market price
2002
S-T support 1
2000
S-T support 2
1994-5
S-T support 3
1990
P. To
Risk Disclosure: Gold Bullion/Silver (“Bullion”) trading carries a high degree of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. This article is for reference only and is not a solicitation or advice to trade any currencies and investment products . Before deciding to trade Bullion you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment or even more in extreme circumstances (such as Gapping underlying markets) and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading Bullion, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you require. Client should not make investment decision solely based on the point of view and information on this article.
場外式黃金/白銀交易的風險:
Service relating to Over-the-counter (OTC) Gold Bullion/Silver trading is provided by MOL. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion trading carries a high degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion is not regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission (""SFC"") and therefore trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion will not be subject to rules or regulations promulgated by the SFC. Before deciding to trade OTC Gold/Silver Bullion you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain losses in excess of your deposited fund or even more in extreme circumstances and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you require.
黄金上周在美联储议息会议过后，重回2000以上，而消息继续围绕明年减息。 Powell 的鸽派会后声明，令市场的基本面进一步调整，最新CME FedWatch tools 显示，现时有接近7成机会在明年3月减息1/4厘，而明年5月减息1/4厘则高达95%。美联储会议日单日上升近50美元(1)，技术上正渐渐舒缓12月4日由2146回落的下跌沽压。
1小时图 – 过去48小时，金价回到2020-50区间内震荡(2)，现时仍未有明显成交量令其作出区间突破，在金价脱离区间前，短线可把握区间(2)操作。本周初未有太多重要经济数据公布，若进一步调整，下一区间会在2000-20(4)，等待本周后期的更重要数据。下降趋线(3)有待确定，但短线仍可用作操作参考。
日线图 – 现时金价正支撑在 2017 – 20天移动均线(5)，相对2035-47(6)仍然沽盘较重，日线图短线操作区间可参考2017-47。若本周后段日线图能收市在2035-47区间或以上，会时金价准备再试高位的第一个讯号。
短線阻力 3
2015
短線阻力 2
2010
短線阻力 1
2007
現價
2002
短線支持 1
2000
短線支持 2
1994-5
短線阻力 3
1990
P. To
風險提示: 場外式黃金/白銀交易涉及高度風險，未必適合所有投資者。高度的槓桿可為閣下帶來負面或正面的影響。閣下在決定買賣場外式黃金/白銀之前應審慎考慮自己的投資目標、交易經驗以及風險接受程度。可能出現的情況包括蒙受部分或全部初始投資額的損失，或在極端情況下（例如相關市場跳空）產生更多的損失。因此，閣下不應將無法承受損失的資金用於投資。投資應知悉買賣場外式黃金/白銀有關的一切風險，如有需要，請向獨立財務顧問尋求意見。市場資料僅供參考，我们絕不保証分析內容的準確性。
黃金上週在美聯儲議息會議過後，重回2000以上，而消息繼續圍繞明年減息。Powell 的鴿派會後聲明，令市場的基本面進一步調整，最新 CME FedWatch tools 顯示，現時有接近7成機會在明年3月減息1/4厘，而明年5月減息1/4厘則高達95%。美聯儲會議日單日上升近50美元(1)，技術上正漸漸舒緩12月4日由2146回落的下跌沽壓。
1小時圖 – 過去48小時，金價回到2020-50區間內震蕩(2)，現時仍未有明顯成交量令其作出區間突破，在金價脫離區間前，短線可把握區間(2)操作。本週初未有太多重要經濟數據公佈，若進一步調整，下一區間會在2000-20(4)，等待本週後期的更重要數據。下降趨線(3)有待確定，但短線仍可用作操作參考。
日線圖 – 現時金價正支撐在 2017 – 20天移動均線(5)，相對2035-47(6)仍然沽盤較重，日線圖短線操作區間可參考2017-47。若本週後段日線圖能收市在2035-47區間或以上，會時金價準備再試高位的第一個訊號。
短線阻力 3
2047
短線阻力 2
2038-40
短線阻力 1
2030-31
現價
2021
短線支持 1
2017
短線支持 2
2007-10
短線阻力 3
2000
P. To
風險提示: 場外式黃金/白銀交易涉及高度風險，未必適合所有投資者。高度的槓桿可為閣下帶來負面或正面的影響。閣下在決定買賣場外式黃金/白銀之前應審慎考慮自己的投資目標、交易經驗以及風險接受程度。可能出現的情況包括蒙受部分或全部初始投資額的損失，或在極端情況下（例如相關市場跳空）產生更多的損失。因此，閣下不應將無法承受損失的資金用於投資。投資應知悉買賣場外式黃金/白銀有關的一切風險，如有需要，請向獨立財務顧問尋求意見。市場資料僅供參考，我們絕不保証分析內容的準確性。
場外式黃金/白銀交易的風險:
Service relating to Over-the-counter (OTC) Gold Bullion/Silver trading is provided by MOL. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion trading carries a high degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion is not regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission (""SFC"") and therefore trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion will not be subject to rules or regulations promulgated by the SFC. Before deciding to trade OTC Gold/Silver Bullion you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain losses in excess of your deposited fund or even more in extreme circumstances and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you require.
日本執政黨自民黨稅制改革小組已就所得稅減免達成一致，旨在抵消物價上漲給家庭帶來的痛苦，幫助改變數十年來的通縮心態。自民黨及其小聯盟盟友公明黨決定放棄增稅以增加下一財年的國防開支，首相岸田文雄將減稅作為政府努力推動促進成長議程的象徵。岸田內閣因生活成本上升、實際工資下降以及導致高級部長改組的籌款醜聞而陷入公眾支持率螺旋式下降的泥潭。出於對富人和窮人之間差距的擔憂，該小組決定限制有資格享受所得稅減免的人的家庭年收入。它擱置了增加稅收的決定，以資助下一財年增加國防開支的計劃。 對於家庭而言，自民黨稅務小組將放棄降低明年計畫的抵押貸款上限。為了鼓勵私部門需求主導的良性成長循環，稅收政策制定者正在加大對提高薪資的公司的稅收減免。即使是虧損的小型企業也可以享有最長五年的稅收優惠。 稅務小組還同意一項新制定的稅收計劃，以幫助從脫碳和經濟安全的角度刺激生產重要材料的公司的國內投資。作為吸引企業進行大額投資的努力的一部分，政府將提供為期十年的稅收優惠，以提高電動車和高科技晶片等五個領域的產量。該計劃旨在透過為在綠色轉型等政府認為具有戰略重要性的領域實現盈利的障礙較高的項目提供稅收優惠，讓企業更容易在日本投資。執政聯盟將把稅收減免納入周四敲定的 2024 財年稅收改革框架中。
上週一日圖出了大陰燭吞沒陽燭後,短線方向做淡會較有優勢，可在2040的前橫行中線或較高的2070前底等待。最後在週四美盤時在2039做了個急升急跌，直接跌穿了2008並回測了一次，短線仍是看淡會較有利。 現價在1985附近，從1H圖看到已形成下跌通道，短線看跌可留意通道頂附近2008前支持位範圍有沒有反彈力量，下關可先看1932的日圖互換位。若今晚數據公佈後，有動能大力升穿通道頂和2020的前底，有可能上週的下跌動能已被消化，延續上升的趨勢。K.Lam風險提示: 場外式黃金/白銀交易涉及高度風險，未必適合所有投資者。高度的槓桿可為閣下帶來負面或正面的影響。閣下在決定買賣場外式黃金/白銀之前應審慎考慮自己的投資目標、交易經驗以及風險接受程度。可能出現的情況包括蒙受部分或全部初始投資額的損失，或在極端情況下（例如相關市場跳空）產生更多的損失。因此，閣下不應將無法承受損失的資金用於投資。投資應知悉買賣場外式黃金/白銀有關的一切風險，如有需要，請向獨立財務顧問尋求意見。市場資料僅供參考，MAX Online 絕不保証分析內容的準確性。
中國工信部表示，根據週一公佈的新技術要求，中國現有90%以上的新能源汽車(NEV)車型將繼續享有購置稅減免。工信部發布的《2024年起新能源汽車免徵購置稅資格技術要求》規定，純電動車一次充電續航里程不少於200公里，插電式混合動力車一次充電續航里程不少於43公里。工業和資訊化部在一份聲明中表示。新規定要求電動車在低溫下的續航里程衰減率不高於35%，並允許可更換電池的電動車享受稅收減免。6月，中國推出了四年內針對電動車和其他綠色汽車的5,200億元人民幣（724.1億美元）的稅收減免計劃，這是該行業迄今為止最大的稅收減免計劃，旨在促進汽車銷售成長。
The downward trend is still dominating. Keep an eye out this week for the US CPI and the Fed. Meeting.
Gold took advantage of better-than-expected employment data in the US market last Friday, finally escaping the 2020-40(1) zone. The price hit a daily low of 1994 and closed at 2004 before the weekend, experiencing a $24 drop throughout the day.
1-hour chart – After experiencing extreme volatility last Monday, gold prices have been claimed throughout last week. Following the 2020(1) support level breach, prices have stepped to the next range of 2000-20(2). The support level is now at 2000, with a short-term rebound target around 2018-20. Until a bottoming signal emerges, the initial downside target is around 1980, with the key focus on Wed’s Federal meeting.
Daily chart – After breaking out of the ascending channel (4) last Friday, we can expect a round of selling in S-T. The resistance is currently at 20 MA(5), while the downside target is around 1978(7) for a 50% retracement. Last Monday’s topping signal(6) continues to dominate the daily chart trend and needs to be digested further in the market. The basic structure needs to be adjusted toward near 1910-40.
S-T ressitance 3
2047
S-T ressitance 2
2038-40
S-T ressitance 1
2030-31
Market price
2021
S-T support 1
2017
S-T support 2
2007-10
S-T support 3
2000
P. To
Risk Disclosure: Gold Bullion/Silver (“Bullion”) trading carries a high degree of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. This article is for reference only and is not a solicitation or advice to trade any currencies and investment products . Before deciding to trade Bullion you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment or even more in extreme circumstances (such as Gapping underlying markets) and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading Bullion, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you require. Client should not make investment decision solely based on the point of view and information on this article.
場外式黃金/白銀交易的風險:
Service relating to Over-the-counter (OTC) Gold Bullion/Silver trading is provided by MOL. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion trading carries a high degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion is not regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission (""SFC"") and therefore trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion will not be subject to rules or regulations promulgated by the SFC. Before deciding to trade OTC Gold/Silver Bullion you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain losses in excess of your deposited fund or even more in extreme circumstances and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you require.
金价上周五美盘把握比预期好的就业数据，终于脱离2020-40震荡区间(1)，进一步往下调整。全日最低触及1994，周未前收盘在2004，全日下跌24美元。
1小时图 – 金价自上周一大升大跌后，波幅转趋平静。而失守2020(1)支持后，价格已步入下一层区2000-20(2)。金价短线支持在2000，短线反弹目标在2018-20。在见底讯号出现前，初步下方目标在1980，关键在周三交易日的美联储议息会议。
日线图 – 上周五脱离上升通道(4)后，短线预期将触发一轮沽盘。现时上方阻力在20天移动均线(5)，下方目标在1978(7)50%回吐。上周一的见顶讯号(6)仍然主导日线图走势，有待市场消化，基本结构须调整至1910-40附近。
短线阻力 3
2015
短线阻力 2
2010
短线阻力 1
2007
现价
2021
短线支持 1
2017
短线支持 2
2007-10
短线支持 3
2000
P. To
風險提示: 場外式黃金/白銀交易涉及高度風險，未必適合所有投資者。高度的槓桿可為閣下帶來負面或正面的影響。閣下在決定買賣場外式黃金/白銀之前應審慎考慮自己的投資目標、交易經驗以及風險接受程度。可能出現的情況包括蒙受部分或全部初始投資額的損失，或在極端情況下（例如相關市場跳空）產生更多的損失。因此，閣下不應將無法承受損失的資金用於投資。投資應知悉買賣場外式黃金/白銀有關的一切風險，如有需要，請向獨立財務顧問尋求意見。市場資料僅供參考，我们絕不保証分析內容的準確性。
金價上週五美盤把握比預期好的就業數據，終於脫離2020-40震蕩區間(1)，進一步往下調整。全日最低觸及1994，週未前收盤在2004，全日下跌24美元。
1小時圖 – 金價自上週一大升大跌後，波幅轉趨平靜。而失守2020(1)支持後，價格已步入下一層區2000-20(2)。金價短線支持在2000，短線反彈目標在2018-20。在見底訊號出現前，初步下方目標在1980，關鍵在週三交易日的美聯儲議息會議。
日線圖 – 上週五脫離上升通道(4)後，短線預期將觸發一輪沽盤。現時上方阻力在20天移動均線(5)，下方目標在1978(7)50%回吐。上週一的見頂訊號(6)仍然主導日線圖走勢，有待市場消化，基本結構須調整至1910-40附近。
短線阻力 3
2015
短線阻力 2
2010
短線阻力 1
2007
現價
2002
短線支持 1
2000
短線支持 2
1994-5
短線阻力 3
1990
P. To
風險提示: 場外式黃金/白銀交易涉及高度風險，未必適合所有投資者。高度的槓桿可為閣下帶來負面或正面的影響。閣下在決定買賣場外式黃金/白銀之前應審慎考慮自己的投資目標、交易經驗以及風險接受程度。可能出現的情況包括蒙受部分或全部初始投資額的損失，或在極端情況下（例如相關市場跳空）產生更多的損失。因此，閣下不應將無法承受損失的資金用於投資。投資應知悉買賣場外式黃金/白銀有關的一切風險，如有需要，請向獨立財務顧問尋求意見。市場資料僅供參考，我們絕不保証分析內容的準確性。