澳央行行长对澳元看好, 评级机构穆迪可能调低债务水平较高的富裕国家的主权信 用评等

In 每日市场分析
June 23, 2020

澳央行行长对澳元看好
澳央行行长洛威於公开论坛上发表演说表示,央行没有理由改变目前的货币政策框架,且无论追求任何目的,利率均可能处於低水平。就业市场方面,其认为将失业率作为目标是没有意义的,因为劳动力市场比这个简单的指标更为复杂。对於近期澳元走势,洛威指出很难发现澳元於目前的水平上被高估,但较低的汇率将有助於提升通胀,言论暗示其对近期澳元升势不感过份担忧,於洛威言论後澳元汇价明显受支持。

评级机构穆迪可能调低债务水平较高的富裕国家的主权信用评等
评级机构穆迪发表疫情对全球 14 个富裕国家,包括美国丶日本丶意大利及英国等,导致经济放缓及财政造成的伤害,预期约政府债务占国内生产总值的占比平均上升约 19%。当中,预期意大利丶日本及英国的债务升幅最大,相当於各自 GDP 的 25%左右。至於美国丶法国丶西班牙丶加拿大及新西兰的增幅或将达 20%,相关破坏程度差不多是金融危机期间的两倍,充份反映疫情冲击的严重程度及广度。穆迪表示,若不能把债务水平降低,将令信用状况较弱的国家更难以承受未来的经济或金融冲击,主权信用评等亦可能被下调。

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