英国与欧盟就脱欧将棋展开复杂及多方面的谈判, 预计澳央行及英伦银行将维持政 策不变

In 每日市场分析
August 03, 2020

英国与欧盟就脱欧将棋展开复杂及多方面的谈判
负责脱欧谈判的英国官员指,根据议程安排,英国与欧盟双方官员由现在到 10 月 2 日,将会举行多轮谈判。务必在 10 月 15 日及 16 日的欧盟 27 国大会上通过脱欧协议, 但假如到当天也未能达成协议,这样双方将会展开更高层次谈判,以尽快於年底前把方案达成。当然,这是最理想情况,不过当明白到双方的谈判不单涉及贸易,还包括国防丶鱼业及运输等,实在令人质疑在这麽短时间里,双方如何就如此复杂问题达成协议。

预计澳央行及英伦银行将维持政策不变
本周将有两央行议息,分别为周二的澳央行及周四的英伦银行。澳央行料维持所有货币政策不变,重点看澳央行对近期相对高企的澳元汇价会否提出异议。至於本周四的英伦银行议息会,维持所有货币政策不变亦是意料中事。重点观察是英伦银行对英经济前景有否任何新看法。

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