黃金基本面前景:
估計本週初情況波動不大,待美聯儲議息和美聯儲主席鮑威爾講話後,才可能走出行情。
市場可能擔心鮑威爾繼續反對“美聯儲轉向”的說法,即他們在2024年之前沒有下調政策利率的計劃,這樣的話美國國債收益率可能會小幅走高,並拖累黃金走勢。
CFTC倉位分析:
根據CFTC公佈1月24日的持倉數據顯示,與1月17日的數據比較,未平倉合約再增加27800張,總未平倉合約有733,468張,是近來的新高。凈持倉持續減少2838張,顯示市場對近期黃金的勢頭開始不看好。
CME FEBWATCH:
根據芝加哥商品交易所集團(CME
Group)的美聯儲觀察工具,市場預期2月1日政策會議後加息25個基點的概率高達98.9%,跟上週比較大致相同。
Group)的美聯儲觀察工具,市場預期2月1日政策會議後加息25個基點的概率高達98.9%,跟上週比較大致相同。
週一: 沒有關鍵數據
週二:
22:45美國1月芝加哥PMI
22:45美國1月Markit服務業PMI初值
週三:
21:15
美國1月ADP就業人數
美國1月ADP就業人數
22:45 美國1月Markit製造業PMI終值
23:00 美國1月ISM製造業PMI
週四:
03:00 美國至2月1日美聯儲利率決定(上限)
03:30 美聯儲主席鮑威爾講話
21:30
美國至1月28日當周初請失業金人數
美國至1月28日當周初請失業金人數
週五:
21:30美國1月失業率
21:30
美國1月季調後非農就業人口(萬人)
美國1月季調後非農就業人口(萬人)
22:45 美國1月Markit服務業PMI終值
23:00
美國1月ISM非製造業PMI
美國1月ISM非製造業PMI
場外式黃金/白銀交易的風險:
Service relating to Over-the-counter (OTC) Gold Bullion/Silver trading is provided by MOL. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion trading carries a high degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion is not regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission (""SFC"") and therefore trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion will not be subject to rules or regulations promulgated by the SFC. Before deciding to trade OTC Gold/Silver Bullion you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain losses in excess of your deposited fund or even more in extreme circumstances and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you require.
Service relating to Over-the-counter (OTC) Gold Bullion/Silver trading is provided by MOL. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion trading carries a high degree of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. OTC Gold/Silver Bullion is not regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission (""SFC"") and therefore trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion will not be subject to rules or regulations promulgated by the SFC. Before deciding to trade OTC Gold/Silver Bullion you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain losses in excess of your deposited fund or even more in extreme circumstances and therefore, you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with trading OTC Gold/Silver Bullion, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you require.